Having a strong opinion about an issue can make it hard to take in new information about it, or to consider other options when they’re presented. Thankfully, there’s an old rule that can help us avoid ...

What’s often misunderstood about Google’s incrementality testing and how Bayesian models use probability to guide better ...

This article was published in Scientific American’s former blog network and reflects the views of the author, not necessarily those of Scientific American I’m not sure when I first heard of Bayes’ ...

In a world of uncertainty and shifting narratives, this post proposes a new model for investing: Bayesian edge investing. Unlike modern portfolio theory, which assumes equilibrium and perfect ...

Bayesian networks are powerful tools in probabilistic reasoning, allowing us to model complex systems where uncertainty and causal relationships intertwine. At their core, Bayesian Networks are ...