Yields on U.S. 10-year Treasury notes slid below those on two-year notes on Wednesday, delivering a reliable recession signal and sending shudders through global financial markets. Other sections of ...

The 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields inverted for the first time since 2019 on Thursday, sending a possible warning signal that a recession could be on the horizon. The bond market phenomenon means ...

A data-driven briefing outlines the key indicators economists track to gauge a potential slowdown and why timing signals remain murky. It explains how an inverted yield curve and widening corporate ...

Inverted yield curves happen when bonds with shorter maturity periods have higher yields than bonds with longer maturity periods. Under normal circumstances, it’s the other way around. Since ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

CNN — On Sunday, White House trade adviser Peter Navarro brushed off concerns of an impending recession. Navarro, known for his outside-the-mainstream positions on economic policy, told CNN's Jake ...

The stock market is signaling an impending recession; consider shifting investments to short-term Treasury bills with a current interest rate of 4.30%. Numerous indicators, including an inverted yield ...

Recession indicators are everywhere, but will they all amount to a hill of beans? Americans are on the lookout for signs of a recession. The signs have been with us, depending on whom you ask, pretty ...

In last week's commentary we spoke about the big bounce of the S&P 500 (SPY) that got us back in the mix of all the key trend lines (50/100/200 day moving averages). And likely we would be stuck in a ...

An inverted rate yield curve – that is, a long-term interest rate that falls to or below the short-term interest rate – seems to have a track record of predicting recessions. The question of leading ...

As the U.S. economy grapples with shifting trade policies and stock market volatility, concerns about a potential recession are growing. President Donald Trump's economic agenda, which includes ...