The Marist survey suggests that Andrew M. Cuomo is still the favorite to win the Democratic primary, but his advantage over Zohran Mamdani is dwindling.

In a ranked-choice simulation, Cuomo wins the eighth and final round with 55 percent to Mamdani’s 45 percent. In Marist’s May poll, Cuomo would go on to win in the sixth round of ranked-choice voting with 60 percent to Mamdani’s 40 percent.

Those are slightly improved figures for Mamdani, compared to Marist's poll in May, where Cuomo led Mamdani 60 percent to 40 percent. A notable change in the poll was Mamdani gaini